Weekend ratings predictions
First, the results of last week's predictions.
Source: Sports Business Daily
Sport
Game/Event
Net
MLB
Yankees/Phillies G3
FOX
Saturday's rain-delayed Game 3 of the World Series drew a 9.1 rating, up 49% from a 6.1 for Rays/Phillies Game 3 last year, but the 5th-lowest rated World Series game since at least 1972.
MLB
Yankees/Phillies G4
FOX
The 13.5 rating for Sunday's Game 4 of the World Series was up 45% from a 9.3 last year, and marked the highest rating for any World Series game since 2004.
NFL
Vikings/Packers (or other regional action)
FOX
Brett Favre's homecoming drew a 17.4 rating on FOX last Sunday, up 26% from last year's comparable Giants/Steelers game, and the highest rated regular season NFL telecast since 2007.
NFL
Giants/Eagles (or other regional action)
FOX
The first game of last Sunday's NFL doubleheader on FOX drew a 9.7 rating, up 10% from an 8.8 for comparable coverage last year.
NFL
Jets/Dolphins (or other regional action)
CBS
CBS drew an 8.4 for last Sunday's singleheader, up 12% from last year's comparable telecast.
College football
USC/Oregon or Texas/Oklahoma St.
ABC
Saturday Night Football -- featuring either USC/Oregon or Texas/Oklahoma St. -- drew a 4.2 rating on ABC last week, down 34% from a 6.4 for Ohio St./Penn St. last year.
College football
Washington St./Notre Dame
NBC
The 1.4 for last Saturday's primetime Washington St./Notre Dame tilt on NBC was the second-lowest of the season for a Notre Dame telecast on the network, ahead of only a 1.3 for Nevada/Notre Dame in September.
College football
Georgia/Florida
CBS
Last Saturday's Georgia/Florida matchup drew a 4.4 rating, up 47% from a 3.0 for Georgia/LSU last year, and the second-highest rated college football game of the season on CBS.
College football
Miami/Wake Forest (or other regional action)
ABC
Regional college football action featuring Miami/Wake Forest drew a 3.2 rating on ABC last week, down 38% from a 5.1 for comparable coverage last year.
College football
South Carolina/Tennessee
ESPN
On a crowded Saturday night in sports, ESPN's South Carolina/Tennessee telecast drew a 1.5 U.S. rating, off 38% from a 2.4 for last year's comaprable Alabama/Tennessee game
NASCAR
Amp Energy 500
ABC
The 4.2 for last Sunday's Amp Energy 500 on ABC was off 9% from a 4.6 last year, and marks the lowest rating for the race since '00.
This week's predictions:
Sport
Game/Event
Date/Time
Net
NFL
Cowboys/Eagles
8 PM Sunday
NBC
Sunday Night Football returns after a one-week hiatus. Expect this week's Cowboys/Eagles battle to draw the highest rating for a Sunday night game since the Cowboys' last appearance -- Week 2 against the Giants (15.1). Patriots/Colts in Week 9 last year drew a 10.6.
NFL
Chargers/Giants (or other regional action)
4:15 PM Sunday
CBS
Eli Manning and Phillip Rivers face off for the first time since they were traded for each other during the '04 NFL Draft. While that angle may not be as attractive as, say, Brett Favre's return to Lambeau Field last week, look for CBS to draw solid numbers regardless. Last year's comparable Cowboys/Giants game drew a 14.3 on FOX.
NFL
Dolphins/Patriots (or other regional action)
1 PM Sunday
CBS
The first game of Sunday's doubleheader on CBS features a trio of crucial division matchups -- Dolphins/Patriots (which has extra hype thanks to Joey Porter's mouth), Ravens/Bengals and Texans/Colts. Expect good numbers. Last year's comparable window on FOX drew an 8.6.
NFL
Cardinals/Bears (or other regional action)
1 PM Sunday
FOX
Sunday's singleheader on FOX features some of the worst teams in the NFL -- Washington, the Lions and the Buccaneers. Most of the country gets Cardinals/Bears, which pits two 4-3 teams. Still, with FOX having drawn strong numbers throughout the NFL season, expect decent numbers. Last year's Week 9 singleheader on CBS drew an 8.0.
College football
Ohio St./Penn St. (or other regional action)
3:30 PM Saturday
ABC
Saturday's early college football window on ABC features a Top 25 battle of Big Ten rivals -- Ohio State against Penn State. Last year's primetime meeting between the teams on ABC drew a massive 6.4 rating.
College football
Connecticut/Cincinnati (or other regional action)
8 PM Saturday
ABC
Connecticut/Cincinnati may not seem like 'ready for primetime' battle, but with Cincinnati in the Top 5, perhaps viewers will tune in out of curiosity. Still, the numbers will fall far short of the 7.5 for Texas/Texas Tech on the comparable night last year.
College football
LSU/Alabama
3:30 PM Saturday
CBS
The 2009 season has been a good one for the SEC on CBS so far. Look for Saturday's LSU/Alabama battle to draw strong numbers. Last year, Georgia/Florida drew a 3.8.
College football
Navy/Notre Dame
2:30 PM Saturday
NBC
After an embarrassing 1.4 in primetime last week, look for Notre Dame to rebound in the ratings on Saturday. Last year's Notre Dame/Navy game drew a 1.9 on CBS; the last time the teams played on NBC, the game drew a 2.3.
College football
Florida St./Clemson
7:45 PM Saturday
ESPN
Despite being steeped in mediocrity over the last few seasons, Florida State still remains a decent draw. Expect good enough numbers for Saturday's FSU tilt against Clemson. Last year, Wisconsin/Michigan State drew a 1.8.
MMA
Strikeforce
9 PM Saturday
CBS
Mixed martial arts returns to CBS on Saturday night. Last year, three Saturday night Elite XC telecasts drew ratings of 3.0, 1.7 and 2.7. Expect similar numbers for Saturday's telecast.
NASCAR
Dickies 500
3:15 PM Sunday
ABC
Another week, another drop in NASCAR ratings? Signs point to yes. Last year's race drew a 3.7 rating.
Horse
Breeders' Cup World Championships
1:30 PM Saturday
ABC
The Breeders' Cup returns to ABC on Saturday. Will ratings improve from last year's 1.0?




